PORTLAND, Oct. 9 - Parish & Company Portfolio Advisors of Portland
Oregon today issued an official summary of recent press releases regarding
the accounting for employee stock options at Microsoft and Cisco Systems.
Several news organization have done stories based upon these releases,
including a lead editorial in the British newspaper the "Independent."
Based upon this analysis, Parish & Company has taken the position
that the justice department case against Microsoft should be dropped. This
conclusion is based upon identifying a financial pyramid in which employees
are prepaying their own wages. This pyramid will clearly collapse and take
away Microsoft's primary competitive weapon, the ability to issue employee
shares in lieu of cash compensation, the cost of which is recognized on
the internal tax books but not recorded on the externally published income
statement. This unrecorded expense was $4.4 billion or $2.9 billion after
tax for fiscal 1998 per a review of the recently filed 10K report. This
overstates net income and even after assuming an optimistic price earnings
ratio of 60 for both firms, if this commitment made to employees were accurately
reflected on the financial statements, would imply a decline in both stocks
of more than 60 percent.
Parish & Company takes no official position with respect to the
government inquiry of Cisco Systems due to their current dialogue with
the SEC over their accounting practices with respect to acquisitions. Parish
& Company does however strongly encourage all investors to support
the SEC's efforts to improve corporate accounting practices and thereby
restore confidence to the financial markets.
The following summary is based upon the 1998 10K SEC filings made last
week. A complete analysis is available in the press release issued 9/30/98.
As of 9/30/98, the stock option liability made to employees was $40
billion for Microsoft and $15 billion for Cisco Systems. In Ciscos case
this represented more than 10 times annual net income even before making
the above adjustments.
As knowledge of this financial pyramid becomes more widely publicized,
both to external investors and employees of leading technology firms, the
company stock prices will adjust accordingly. This will make hiring and
retaining their primary asset, smart, highly motivated, creative and dedicated
employees more difficult. As these workers pursue opportunities with greater
potential rewards in newer companies able to more liberally issue stock
options the economy will again be reinvigorated and a new business cycle
energized.
Parish & Company is an independent Fee Based Investment Advisor
committed to serving Individuals, Trusts and Retirement Plans based in
Portland, Oregon. The firm produces objective financial analysis based
upon accounting facts, manages individual and trust investment portfolios
and advises companies on how to improve their retirement plans by providing
independent oversight of the investment firm selected by utilizing an employee
based benchmark system. No fees are accepted from the investment industry,
either directly or indirectly and no research is sold but rather posted
to the Internet for availability to all interested parties. Bill Parish
can be contacted through the following web site at www.billparish.com
or by phone, 503-643-6999.
SOURCE: Parish & Company
Microsoft & Cisco Systems Employee Stock Options: DOJ Analysis by Parish
& Company
($Billions)
Microsoft Cisco Systems
Fiscal Year 1998 Net Income per SEC 10K $ 4.5 $ 1.3
Less After Tax Expense Taken on Tax Books
for Employee Stock Options per 10K 2.9 .8
Adjusted Income $ 1.6 $ .5
Less: After Tax Amortization of 15 percent
of Remaining future Liability for Stock Options
at end of Fiscal 1998
Microsoft ($40B x .15 x.65)
Cisco Systems ($15B x .15 x.65) 3.9 1.4
Restated Earnings per Parish & Company Analysis (2.3) (.9)
After accounting for employee stock options, both Microsoft and Cisco Systems
are clearly unprofitable. It is also noteworthy that Cisco Systems did
not buy back any stock in fiscal 1998. Due to the overall size of this
liability to employees, even spending half the available cash on a share
repurchase program would not solve the challenge.